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Retail Outlook: Brick & Mortar Defies Odds, Surge Forecast For 2024

What's in store for retail in 2024? We analyze economists' forecasts, recent trends and the latest holiday sales data to look ahead at next year.

Alice Cresswell

Content Strategy Manager

A millennial born in the digital age, I grew up arrogantly thinking brick and mortar was on its last legs. Ecommerce was the way forward, and before we knew it, we’d be living in floating armchairs with everything we needed on a projected screen in front of us (think Wall-E).

Turns out, things don’t move so linearly. And while technology might evolve exactly as quickly as you expect, human nature doesn’t quite match up in rate of change. We don’t want to live isolated from others, married to a holographic screen, consuming limitlessly.

Maybe we don’t want mandated office days, but we do want to be in the office, around people, on our own terms. We want the option to shop online, but we also want to know we can head into the city to try those jeans on for size. We’ll make a day of it—see friends for coffee, go to the gym, or run some errands.

Over COVID, we hedged our bets on direct-to-consumer commerce. Big Tech like Amazon went all-in on hires during the pandemic, then made massive staff cuts when eCommerce transactions tapered off earlier than expected.

Retail giants also bet big on leisurewear—anticipating a pivot to work-from-home comfies to stick around. But it wasn’t long before they realized they’d over estimated demand. Shoppers reported seeing leisurewear littering Target shop floors, and sales abounded to move stock.

Looking ahead, what can we expect from 2024? More of the same, or a shift for the better?

 


 

Online Retail Sales: 2024 Outlook


2022 saw a contraction in online sales worldwide, but 2023 has been back to growth again—around 7%. Now, even with the possibility of recession still hanging thick in the air (will it happen? will it not?), the consumer appears to be resilient.

The Economist Intelligence Unit, EIU, is predicting online retail sales growth globally to head back into double-digit growth (10.5%).

But the US and Western Europe will still be playing catch up, with more sluggish single digit growth than the global average. We’ll be seeing profitability pressures continue to restrict growth in the DTC space, with investors seeking better returns.

 

Brick and Mortar Sales: 2024 Outlook


If you’ve been following retail news, you’ll have seen Kohl’s has been suffering in eCommerce sales. Following other big brands, Kohl’s has committed to modernizing its physical presence, as well as providing offers and promotions consistently across all channels.

Consumers want brick and mortar, but they’re voting with their wallets, demanding a slick, engaging experience. Think Mecca, IKEA, Apple and LEGO.

Where SMB and mid-market retail can provide a more personal touch, retail giants are under pressure to supplement a lack of personalization with expensive tech and impressive fitouts.

EIU forecasts that brick and mortar sales will make up a whopping 85% of total retail sales in 2024. The businesses that have made it through high interest rates and rising costs will enjoy recovering foot traffic and a sales boost.

“2024 will see the strongest pace of growth for offline retail since the post-pandemic rebound of 2021,” EIU predicts.

This trend will be global. Beyond Kohls, other large retailers like Nordstrom (US) and Primark (Ireland) are planning store expansion in the US in 2024.

 

Overall Outlook for Retail in 2024


While the online sales forecast is still overcast, the clouds are clearing and a growth surge is on the horizon for brick and mortar.

Black Friday / Cyber Monday 2023 proved that the consumer is ever-resilient. We also saw that loyal customers are a critical asset to retailers—brick and mortar in particular.

Marsello’s latest data shows around half of eCommerce shoppers were repeat customers, and half new shoppers.

For brick and mortar retailers, on the other hand, repeat customers made up 80% of BFCM sales. What's more, physical retailers grew their customer databases by around 22% over Black Friday in 2023.

Loyalty programs and customer marketing will play a huge part in boosting 2024 brick and mortar sales.

Yes, that’s a pitch to start a free trial of Marsello, connect your eCommerce and POS platforms, and start syncing the last few months’ worth of sales!

In 2024, it’s time to put all that data into motion… change is coming.

Start free trial

 


 

Read more: 7 Steps To Building A Profitable Loyalty & Rewards Program

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    POS Integration: Connect Your Point-Of-Sale To Klaviyo [No Code Required]

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    Looking for a simple, no-code way to integrate your POS with Klaviyo? Look no further. Bring all your online and in-store data into Klaviyo with Marsello.

     

    Want to bring all your in-store sales data into Klaviyo?

    Want to connect all your bricks-and-mortar and eCommerce transactions to unique customer profiles?

    Want to segment your customers by their behavior, no matter where they’re shopping with you?

    Look no further.

    Marsello’s omnichannel loyalty program is your solution. Marsello integrates with point-of-sale (POS) apps as well as your eCommerce apps, and syncs all that data into Klaviyo.

    That means you get all your sales data in one place. Better yet, it’s all identifiable. So if your customers are shopping with you online and in-store, you can see a complete activity log of all their purchases.

    That means more complete data, and more marketing precision.

    Klaviyo Integration - How does it work - Banner

     


     

    Why do I need to use a loyalty program?

    A loyalty program is one of the only ways to de-anonymize in-person transactions.

    Without it, your customers can come in and shop without identifying themselves. Which means you’ve got regulars you can’t talk to, unless you’re actually speaking to them in the store!

    You can’t let them know about new products, you can’t email them discounts for their loyalty, you can’t tell how much they’re spending with you.

    With a loyalty program, you know your customers. They're motivated to self-identify, because they earn points on each purchase. Using Marsello, they simply scan their loyalty code or give sales staff their mobile number. This attaches the customer to the sale, and syncs all the order details through to their profile in Klaviyo.

    Plus, with Marsello, you get much more than just SKU and order data. You can see points balance, tier status, and repeat purchase rate in Klaviyo as well (and use these data points for segments and automations). This shows you how engaged your database is, and how incentivized they are to come back.


    See how Marsello's POS + Klaviyo integration works
    Book a call with an expert to connect your in-store and online sales data with Klaviyo.

    Speak to an expert

    Marsello Integrations

     




    How does the Klaviyo POS integration prevent marketing misfires?

    Marketing works best when it’s data-driven. But your automations won’t make any sense if they’re firing only on your eCommerce transactions.

    If your customers get a consistent brand experience when they shop online, but they’re not getting the same experience when they go in-store, it’s incoherent and jarring.

    For example, if Ronnie Regular gets a follow up email after he buys knitwear online, letting him know how to care for his new garment, that’s the experience he expects from his in-store purchases next winter too.

    By seamlessly linking your sales channels with Klaviyo (via Marsello), you can leverage your in-store loyalty and order data. This enables you to craft more impactful campaigns through Klaviyo. You can segment, automate, and communicate with all the necessary information at your fingertips.

     


     

    How does the Klaviyo POS integration work?

     

    Simply connect your POS, eCommerce and Klaviyo accounts to Marsello. Marsello then links up your in-store loyalty and order details with Klaviyo customer profiles.

    This makes Marsello your loyalty and sales hub, with all that customer data flowing through into Klaviyo for more efficient marketing.

    With the Klaviyo and POS integration, you will:

    • Share customer details with Klaviyo profiles: Sync customer details into Klaviyo, making customer profiles juicier with relevant data.
    • Share customer events with your Klaviyo account: Set up events to automatically send timely and targeted emails based on what your customers are doing – like their shopping habits, loyalty actions, or feedback. These events happen fast, almost in real-time. Share events like in-store and online orders, loyalty actions, and feedback.
    • Send your loyalty and order data to Klaviyo: Sync POS and eCommerce loyalty data and orders to Klaviyo customer profiles instantly. This gives you the full picture of how customers spend. You'll get to know your customers better – their habits and how they like to shop.
    • Create offers and coupon codes for Klaviyo campaigns: Whip up discount codes that work both in-store and online for your campaigns. Load them up against specific customer profiles so folks can enjoy discounts wherever they shop.
    • Build detailed customer segments for Klaviyo campaigns: Take advantage of both in-store and online data to create special customer segments in Klaviyo. These custom audiences help you run more personalized campaigns that go beyond just your VIP list.

    See Marsello's POS + Klaviyo integration in action
    Book a call with an expert to connect your in-store and online sales data with Klaviyo.

    Speak to an expert

     


     

    “Having something that worked across both [online and in-store] channels was really important. Marsello gives us the tools on that front ... It makes it very easy to talk to our customer in just one voice”.

    Will, Pace Athletic

     

     

    What's possible with the POS + Klaviyo integration

    Best integrations for klaviyo - retail

    When you connect Marsello and Klaviyo, you unlock a treasure trove of valuable loyalty and order data such as purchase site, order total, product selections, and more.

    Let’s learn more about the specific data sets that get synced to your Klaviyo profiles.

    POS and eCommerce orders

    By syncing your POS and eCommerce order events into Klaviyo, you can create a 360-degree view of your customers’ spending behavior with your business. With this data, you can create targeted segments and automations based on in-store and online orders, enabling further personalization of your email marketing efforts.

    Loyalty activities

    Using Marsello’s loyalty program, you can encourage customers to return by rewarding them with loyalty points for each purchase they make. Sync loyalty events into Klaviyo to create custom segments and automations based on loyalty program engagement, then use customers’ loyalty profile information to further personalized your marketing efforts. For example, when a customer claims a coupon but hasn’t redeemed it, you could send a follow-up email that recommends products and encourages them to shop.

    Feedback responses

    Finally, using Marsello’s customer feedback features enable you to measure customer satisfaction with their shopping experience, helping you keep track of what you’re doing well and how you can improve. Sync feedback responses to Klaviyo to help measure customer sentiment. Create segments and automate follow-up emails to help nurture customer relationships with your brand.

    And more! For a full list of what’s possible, visit the Help Center.

     


     

    How to connect Klaviyo to your POS with Marsello

    Now that you know how Marsello’s loyalty and order data can empower your email marketing campaigns, here's how to enable the Klaviyo integration within Marsello.

    In your Klaviyo account, you will need to generate a new API key with Full Access to Profiles. 

    To create an API in Klaviyo

    • Navigate to API keys under your profile settings
    • Enter “Marsello” as your Private API Key Name

    • Under Select Access Level, select Full Access Key
    • Click Create. This will generate your new API key.
    • Copy this key and keep it ready to paste into your Marsello add-on settings.

    If you haven’t already created a Klaviyo account, you can do so here.

    How to enable the Klaviyo integration in Marsello

    • First, log in to your Marsello account
    • In your Marsello admin, navigate to Integrations > Add-ons
    • Find Klaviyo in the list of add-ons and click Connect

    • Click Save. Your Marsello & Klaviyo accounts will now be connected.

    And that's it!

    No code, just a simple, seamless integration that only takes a minute.


     


     

    See Marsello and Klaviyo in action with your business
    Book a call with an expert to try Klaviyo and Marsello together.

    Speak to an expert

     

    Next read: 5 Klaviyo Integrations Every Retailer Should Be Using

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